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GCI qubit





Country Comparison
US Economic State
US Short-Term Growth -0.15
US Medium-Term Growth -0.77
US Medium-Term Inflation -0.05
US Equity Yield 0.07
US Bond Yield 0.05
Eurozone Economic State
Eurozone Short-Term Growth 0.41
Eurozone Medium-Term Growth -0.86
Eurozone Medium-Term Inflation -0.24
Eurozone Equity Yield 0.14
Eurozone Bond Yield 0.07
UK Economic State
UK Short-Term Growth 0.56
UK Medium-Term Growth -1.20
UK Medium-Term Inflation -0.48
UK Equity Yield 0.17
UK Bond Yield -0.01
Japan Economic State
Japan Short-Term Growth 0.23
Japan Medium-Term Growth -0.61
Japan Medium-Term Inflation 0.34
Japan Equity Yield 0.18
Japan Bond Yield 0.01
Date:

The current American economy looks fairly bearish; medium-term growth and inflation and short-term growth are all negative. We believe the Fed will likely intervene soon by lowering rates, which is why we favor a steepening yield curve. Medium-term growth has been very steadily negative as of late, with negative reads every day of the last month.
Short-term growth has been fairly steady as of late, with negative reads on most days of the last month.



Current Prior
Unemployment Rate 3.60% 3.50%
Change in Non-Farm Payrolls 128K 136K
US GDP Quarterly 2.10% 2.00%
Current Prior
CPI (YoY) 1.80% 1.70%
Industrial Production (YoY) -0.80% -0.40%
Consumer Sentiment 125.5 125.9
Current Prior
Retail Sales (MoM) 0.30% -0.30%
New Home Sales 733K 701K
Housing Starts 1314K 1256K
×
Oct 04 Nov 06 Dec 06
3M 1.69% 1.54% 1.53%
2yr 1.39% 1.62% 1.59%
5yr 1.35% 1.66% 1.63%
10yr 1.53% 1.86% 1.81%
30yr 2.03% 2.34% 2.26%